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1.
J Stat Theory Pract ; 17(2): 32, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2263455

ABSTRACT

Extreme events, such as earthquakes, tsunamis, and market crashes, can have substantial impact on social and ecological systems. Quantile regression can be used for predicting these extreme events, making it an important problem that has applications in many fields. Estimating high conditional quantiles is a difficult problem. Regular linear quantile regression uses an L 1 loss function [Koenker in Quantile regression, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2005], and the optimal solution of linear programming for estimating coefficients of regression. A problem with linear quantile regression is that the estimated curves for different quantiles can cross, a result that is logically inconsistent. To overcome the curves crossing problem, and to improve high quantile estimation in the nonlinear case, this paper proposes a nonparametric quantile regression method to estimate high conditional quantiles. A three-step computational algorithm is given, and the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator are derived. Monte Carlo simulations show that the proposed method is more efficient than linear quantile regression method. Furthermore, this paper investigates COVID-19 and blood pressure real-world examples of extreme events by using the proposed method.

2.
Acad Radiol ; 2022 Nov 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2122258

ABSTRACT

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: Early detection and treatment of COVID-19 patients is crucial. Convolutional neural networks have been proven to accurately extract features in medical images, which accelerates time required for testing and increases the effectiveness of COVID-19 diagnosis. This study proposes two classification models for multiple chest diseases including COVID-19. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The first is Stacking-ensemble model, which stacks six pretrained models including EfficientNetV2-B0, EfficientNetV2-B1, EfficientNetV2-B2, EfficientNetV2-B3, EfficientNetV2-S and EfficientNetV2-M. The second model is self-designed model ECA-EfficientNetV2 based on ECA-Net and EfficientNetV2. Ten-fold cross validation was performed for each model on chest X-ray and CT images. One more dataset, COVID-CT dataset, was tested to verify the performance of the proposed Stacking-ensemble and ECA-EfficientNetV2 models. RESULTS: The best performance comes from the proposed ECA-EfficientNetV2 model with the highest Accuracy of 99.21%, Precision of 99.23%, Recall of 99.25%, F1-score of 99.20%, and (area under the curve) AUC of 99.51% on chest X-ray dataset; the best performance comes from the proposed ECA-EfficientNetV2 model with the highest Accuracy of 99.81%, Precision of 99.80%, Recall of 99.80%, F1-score of 99.81%, and AUC of 99.87% on chest CT dataset. The differences for five metrics between Stacking-ensemble and ECA-EfficientNetV2 models are not significant. CONCLUSION: Ensemble model achieves better performance than single pretrained models. Compared to the SOTA, Stacking-ensemble and ECA-EfficientNetV2 models proposed in this study demonstrate promising performance on classification of multiple chest diseases including COVID-19.

3.
Comput Biol Med ; 146: 105604, 2022 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1982848

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The traditional method of detecting COVID-19 disease mainly rely on the interpretation of computer tomography (CT) or X-ray images (X-ray) by doctors or professional researchers to identify whether it is COVID-19 disease, which is easy to cause identification mistakes. In this study, the technology of convolutional neural network is expected to be able to efficiently and accurately identify the COVID-19 disease. METHODS: This study uses and fine-tunes seven convolutional neural networks including InceptionV3, ResNet50V2, Xception, DenseNet121, MobileNetV2, EfficientNet-B0, and EfficientNetV2 on COVID-19 detection. In addition, we proposes a lightweight convolutional neural network, LightEfficientNetV2, on small number of chest X-ray and CT images. Five-fold cross-validation was used to evaluate the performance of each model. To confirm the performance of the proposed model, LightEfficientNetV2 was carried out on three different datasets (NIH Chest X-rays, SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-CT). RESULTS: On chest X-ray image dataset, the highest accuracy 96.50% was from InceptionV3 before fine-tuning; and the highest accuracy 97.73% was from EfficientNetV2 after fine-tuning. The accuracy of the LightEfficientNetV2 model proposed in this study is 98.33% on chest X-ray image. On CT images, the best transfer learning model before fine-tuning is MobileNetV2, with an accuracy of 94.46%; the best transfer learning model after fine-tuning is Xception, with an accuracy of 96.78%. The accuracy of the LightEfficientNetV2 model proposed in this study is 97.48% on CT image. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with the SOTA, LightEfficientNetV2 proposed in this study demonstrates promising performance on chest X-ray images, CT images and three different datasets.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Deep Learning , COVID-19/diagnostic imaging , Computers , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods , X-Rays
4.
Zhongguo Dang Dai Er Ke Za Zhi ; 24(7): 728-735, 2022 Jul 15.
Article in Chinese | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1964550

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the psychological and behavioral problems and related influencing factors in children and adolescents during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic. METHODS: China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Data, PubMed, and Web of Science were searched using the method of subject search for articles published up to March 31, 2022, and related data were extracted for Scoping review. RESULTS: A total of 3 951 articles were retrieved, and 35 articles from 12 countries were finally included. Most of the articles were from the journals related to pediatrics, psychiatry, psychology, and epidemiology, and cross-sectional survey was the most commonly used research method. Psychological and behavioral problems in children and adolescents mainly included depression/anxiety/stress, sleep disorder, internet behavior problems, traumatic stress disorder, and self-injury/suicide. Influencing factors were analyzed from the three aspects of socio-demographic characteristics, changes in living habits, and ways of coping with COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: During the COVID-19 epidemic, the psychological and behavioral problems of children and adolescents in China and overseas are severe. In the future, further investigation and research can be carried out based on relevant influencing factors to improve the psychological and behavioral problems.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Problem Behavior , Adolescent , Anxiety/epidemiology , Anxiety/etiology , Child , China/epidemiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Depression/epidemiology , Humans , Mental Health
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